Hard to see a big future for SocDems, as it is too broad a church, with far left immigration lovers like Gary Gannon and housing guru Rory Hearne, who was a founder member of Trotskyite People Before Profit aka Socialist Workers Party. He then joined Labour, briefly. Another immigration enthusiast. No way would these people adopt the Danish immigration pick, held by left and right in Denmark. They love their virtue signalling too much.
Their surge in the polls started by the election as leader of Holly Cairns, aka Hollymania, a youthful, attractive, articulate liberal Wrst Cork Protestant and strong abortion supporter. She is on maternity leave. Almost all SS reps are holders of standard D4 opinions on Green agenda, immigration, secularism, etc.
Gibney is more radical. Only party capable of a Danish model is a directive from Connolly House politburo to SF on reading the polls. A left field option would be FG dumping the incompetent out of his depth Harris, and appointing the steely Jennifer Carroll McNeill as leader. It would appeal to what is left of their base, and put clear blue water between them and other parties, being able to sell it as a modern, compassionate Danish policy, as opposed to far right.
Sure that’s why I included that in the challenges section.
If I seem bullish on SocDems it’s only because FGFF show no signs of deviating outside the margins and SocDems are the only ones with size, growth, and leading the youth that conforms to a west-wide vibe shift towards left econ populism. This suggests that it’s less actually concerned with the current composition of SDs and more on what the youth bulge may evolve them into. They will have to fuse with Sinn Fein anyway as I said to gain power so whatever moderating influence you suggested, is baked into the cake there.
Hollymania was real, and her emergence from maternity leave, youthful, attractive mother, articulate leader, with a little one will IMO give a real kick start/reboot of her party.
Many of her colleagues are way to the left of her.
She will appeal to the aspirational young people, and if Hearne can work out a credible housing policy………
Hard to see a big future for SocDems, as it is too broad a church, with far left immigration lovers like Gary Gannon and housing guru Rory Hearne, who was a founder member of Trotskyite People Before Profit aka Socialist Workers Party. He then joined Labour, briefly. Another immigration enthusiast. No way would these people adopt the Danish immigration pick, held by left and right in Denmark. They love their virtue signalling too much.
Their surge in the polls started by the election as leader of Holly Cairns, aka Hollymania, a youthful, attractive, articulate liberal Wrst Cork Protestant and strong abortion supporter. She is on maternity leave. Almost all SS reps are holders of standard D4 opinions on Green agenda, immigration, secularism, etc.
Gibney is more radical. Only party capable of a Danish model is a directive from Connolly House politburo to SF on reading the polls. A left field option would be FG dumping the incompetent out of his depth Harris, and appointing the steely Jennifer Carroll McNeill as leader. It would appeal to what is left of their base, and put clear blue water between them and other parties, being able to sell it as a modern, compassionate Danish policy, as opposed to far right.
FG just adore those smart, modern, European betters, with their hygiene, duvets, coffee etc.
Sure that’s why I included that in the challenges section.
If I seem bullish on SocDems it’s only because FGFF show no signs of deviating outside the margins and SocDems are the only ones with size, growth, and leading the youth that conforms to a west-wide vibe shift towards left econ populism. This suggests that it’s less actually concerned with the current composition of SDs and more on what the youth bulge may evolve them into. They will have to fuse with Sinn Fein anyway as I said to gain power so whatever moderating influence you suggested, is baked into the cake there.
Hollymania was real, and her emergence from maternity leave, youthful, attractive mother, articulate leader, with a little one will IMO give a real kick start/reboot of her party.
Many of her colleagues are way to the left of her.
She will appeal to the aspirational young people, and if Hearne can work out a credible housing policy………